
2024’s Economy Lays the Groundwork for a Steady 2025
By Nich Tremper
Tom BowenEconomist October 23, 2024
The ratio of contractors to employees on the Gusto platform has increased by 15% since 2018. This increase reflects a continued acceleration of the trend towards temporary, flexible jobs. In the years leading up to 2020, the ratio of contractors to employees was declining due to the tightening labor market leading up to the pandemic. However, this trend picked up again with vigor post 2020 – the ratio of contractors to employees increased by 46% from its low in 2020 to 2024.
There are several factors that lead businesses to increase contractor utilization:
Notably, this trend is more pronounced among smaller companies and those established more recently. Businesses founded post-COVID have, on average, one contractor for every four employees, compared to one contractor for every six employees at businesses founded before COVID.
This difference highlights a shift in business practices and attitudes toward workforce composition. The post-COVID business landscape has driven many newer firms to prioritize flexibility and adaptability, leveraging contractors to quickly scale operations and access specialized skills without the long-term commitment of full-time hires.
Additionally, smaller firms have a notably higher ratio of contractors to employees. This suggests that contractors are an integral part of many small businesses, allowing them access to highly specialized workers needed to manage and grow their business.
Six of the top ten cities with the highest contractors to employee ratio are located in the South. These cities include Atlanta, Austin, Miami, Tampa, Charlotte, and Nashville. The high rates of entrepreneurship, rapid population growth, and business-friendly environments in the South all contribute to the high contractor utilization.
The top three cities with the highest average pay for contractors - San Francisco, San Jose, and Boston - are driven by their tech-heavy economies. Silicon Valley's tech companies in San Francisco and San Jose, along with Boston's strong biotech and healthcare sectors, create high demand for skilled contractors. This, in turn, leads to higher pay for contractors living in these areas who have the specialized skills companies are looking for.
However, due to the relatively low cost of living and high earning potential, Minneapolis and Philadelphia are the most affordable cities for contractors to live. After considering the cost of living, contractors in Minneapolis make an average of $46 per hour, equivalent to $95,680 a year when they work standard full-time hours. In contrast, the high cost of living in New York City makes it one of the least affordable cities for contractors to live. After adjusting for the cost of living, the average contractor in New York City makes just over $20 per hour.
In addition to hiring contractors domestically, small businesses are increasingly going abroad to find great talent. From July 2023 to July 2024, the share of companies paying international contractors increased by 11%. The Communications, Technology, and Consulting industries have the highest share of companies paying an international contractor, with nearly 1 in 10 companies operating in these industries paying an international contractor.
Additionally, international contractors are becoming a larger part of the workforce composition of small businesses. For businesses that are already hiring abroad (have one international contractor on payroll), the ratio of international contractors to domestic employees has increased by 27% since July 2023. The typical small business with at least one international contractor now has one international contractor for every employee. With the rise of remote work making it easier to communicate with workers abroad and the speed of globalization continuing to increase, the increase in the utilization of international contractors among small businesses is unlikely to slow down in the near future.
This report's data comes from anonymized payroll data from more than 300,000 businesses across the country. The contractor-to-employee ratio measures the number of contractors per employee at companies on the Gusto platforms. Hourly pay is calculated based on contractor payments for companies on the Gusto platform. Cost of living Cost adjustments are created using C2ER’s 2023 annual average cost of living data.
is an Economist at Gusto, researching work and business trends in the modern economy. He received his Master’s in Economics from UC Santa Cruz. Tom currently lives in New York, NY.Read More
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